Potash Fertilizer Recently, the International Fertilizer Industry Association (IFA) reported in its report “2009-2010 on the short-term outlook of global fertilizer supply and demand” that the financial crisis and the decline in agricultural product prices have had a significant impact on global fertilizer demand. It is estimated that global fertilizer consumption in 2009 Larger than the supply, the sales chain inventory is greatly reduced. With the global economy picking up and the price of agricultural products rising, IFA expects global supply and demand for fertilizers to pick up in 2010.
IFA estimates that global consumption of fertilizers in 2009 will reach 158 million tons (equivalent to the same below), with a total of 006 million tons of nitrogen fertilizers, 35.4 million tons of phosphate fertilizers and 22 million tons of potash fertilizers, down 1.5%, 10.5%, and 19.8% year-on-year respectively. With the gradual recovery of the global economy, reduction of food inventories, and increase in prices of agricultural products, the global fertilizer market will fully recover in 2010. Fertilizer demand is expected to increase by 4.9% from 2009 to 165.8 million tons (equivalent), of which nitrogen fertilizer demand will increase by 2.6%. , Phosphorus fertilizer growth of 6.2%, potash fertilizer growth of 13.5%.
Nitrogen fertilizers The estimated global ammonia production in 2009 was 152.5 million tons. Trinidad and Tobago, Australia, Oman, Egypt, and Poland are the major suppliers. IFA expects global synthetic ammonia deliveries to increase by 1.5% to reach 135.1 million in 2010. Ton of NH3,; urea supply will increase from 151.7 million tons in kind in 2009 to 165.3 million tons, China, Oman and India are the three major suppliers, due to the 2009 and 2010 will have 40 sets of devices worldwide, is expected in 2010 The global urea capacity will reach 178.8 million tons in kind. If you consider the maximum operating rate, the global urea supply will reach 105.2 million tons in 2010. In 2009, the global synthetic ammonia trade volume increased by 1.5% to 135.1 million tons of NH3, and the global trade volume of seaborne ammonia reached 15.3 million tons, accounting for 84% of the total trade volume; in 2009, the global urea trade volume was 34 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%. India In the United States, imports account for 65% of global trade volume. It is estimated that the global surplus of nitrogen fertiliser in 2009 will be 10.5 million tons, which will be reduced to 7.8 million tons in 2010. In 2009, urea will have a surplus of 10.6 million tons in kind and will have a surplus of 8.9 million tons in 2010.
Phosphate Fertilizer IFA expects that the global supply of phosphate ore will drop to 158 million tons in 2009. Due to the decline in imports from Western Europe, East Asia, the United States, and Oceania, the global export of phosphate rock will fall by one-third to 20 million tons. In 2009, the global supply of phosphoric acid slowly recovered, rising by 4% to 39.4 million tons (P2O5, the same below). In 2009, the phosphoric acid production capacity reached 46.6 million tons of P2O5, and the production capacity in 2010 will reach 47.3 million tons. China will contribute two-thirds of the net increase. In view of the recovery of ammonium phosphate and heavy calcium production, global phosphate fertilizer production capacity is expected to reach 36.6 million tons in 2010. In 2009, the global surplus of phosphorus fertilizer was 6.9 million tons, and the surplus in 2010 was 5.5 million tons.
In 2009, global supply of potash fertilizer was severely hit. International potash fertilizer imports fell to the lowest level in 30 years. Sales volume was significantly lower than consumption. The operating rate was only 50%. In 2009, global potash fertilizer production capacity only increased by 4% to 41.8 million tons (K2O , the same below, is expected in 2010 the global potash fertilizer production capacity is expected to reach 43.1 million tons, China, Canada, Chile, Russia and Jordan are the main expansion countries, in 2010 potash fertilizer supply is expected to reach 38.6 million tons. The expected potash surplus in 2009 was 12.6 million tons, and the surplus in 2010 was 10.8 million tons, and the consumption of potash fertilizer in North America, Latin America and West Asia has been restored. The import of potash fertilizer in China is unpredictable.
Sulfur In 2009, global sulfur production increased by 2% year-on-year to 49.5 million tons of S. In 2009, global sulfur consumption decreased by 1% to 44.7 million tons. Due to the reduction of energy demand, the global supply of sulfur declined significantly. In 2010, demand in West Asia, East Asia, Eastern Europe, Central Asia and North America will continue to grow. It is expected that the surplus of global sulfur surplus will reach 4.7 million tons in 2009. The surplus in 2010 is expected to increase to 6 million to 7 million tons, which is equivalent to 7% of the total global supply of sulfur.
Overall, the global ammonia and potash trade will resume in 2010, and Ukraine will continue to be affected by the supply of natural gas. Urea demand in the United States, West Asia, Latin America, Europe and West Asia will grow strongly. The global production and trade situation in 2010 will change.

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