China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Weichai Holding Group have recently launched new products. Among them, HOWO-A7 of China National Heavy Truck represents the highest level of heavy trucks in China, with a market price of RMB 257,000 to RMB 33 million. It is a new generation of modular automatic machinery developed by CNHTC in cooperation with WABCO. Transmission Control System (AMT).

However, heavy-duty trucks equipped with AMT technology cost more than US$100 each. In the cost-reliable Chinese heavy truck industry, how much power can this technology bring to the heavy truck industry? In 2008, the commercial vehicle industry is not just a heavy truck. In the dual push of technology and policy, can the commercial vehicle industry collectively stand up in 2009?

Advanced Technology China First

In an interview with reporters on January 10, WABCO’s Asia Pacific President Liu Liang repeatedly emphasized that starting from January 1 this year, AMT, which was supplied by the Wipoco Qingdao factory, “is definitely the latest technology,” not only is the world’s first production, It is also an exclusive new technology.

WABCO has researched AMT technology for nearly 23 years, and the number of commercial vehicles on commercial vehicles worldwide has exceeded 1.4 million. According to Yu Sujie, general manager of WABCO's China Business Area, AMT technology selects the best shift timing through the computer, which is equivalent to the best driver level. According to comparative data from European neutral institutions, "3% fuel economy is sure to be no problem." AMT even addressed the serious overload situation in China's heavy-duty truck industry and solved the problem of overloaded vehicles.

The loading rate of AMT technology in Europe is more than 50%, but it has just begun in China and has great potential. Liu Liang believes that: "Technology promotion is not complicated in theory, but the key is extremely high reliability, competitive cost, and rapid localization."

This year's situation is not optimistic

Mr. Wu, an executive editor of a professional magazine for commercial vehicles, told reporters that China's heavy-duty truck industry is characterized by more varieties and less production, and the pursuit of low cost. The new products launched by CNHTC include 19 core technologies, and the price is also 30,000 to 40,000 yuan. Whether it can be buoyed by the market is still unknown.

Sales of commercial vehicles fell slightly in 2008. According to statistics from the China National Automobile Industry Association, passenger car sales decreased by 4.69% year-on-year from January to November 2008; sales of medium-sized and light buses decreased by 2.74% and 10.15% respectively year-on-year.

From the analysis report, the situation in the commercial vehicle industry in 2009 was not optimistic. According to the analysis of Xinhuaxin International Information Consulting (Beijing) Co., Ltd., it is expected that the young passenger market in 2009 will continue to decline, and the total passenger car sales are expected to decrease by 5% to 15%; the demand for medium and heavy trucks is expected to be 660,000, which is a 10% drop from 2008. . Affected by the economic environment, the overall situation of mini-vehicles in 2009 is not optimistic and is expected to increase slightly by around 5% throughout the year.

4 trillion opportunities

The industry analysis report was slightly pessimistic, and the company’s views were slightly optimistic.

China National Heavy Duty Truck Group Chairman Ma Chunji said recently that the overall demand for heavy-duty trucks across the country will generally slow down this year, but with the gradual implementation of a series of macro-control policies, the heavy-duty truck industry will take the lead, with the construction of highways and railways, and modern logistics. With the implementation of energy-saving emission reduction projects and livelihood projects in place, it is expected that the market will rebound significantly in the second quarter of this year.

Yu Sujie told reporters that in 2009 Weiboko valued the “village and village project”, and the next step was to enter the passenger Car Industry.

With the support of relevant national policies, bus sales will become an emerging force driving the growth of the commercial vehicle industry. According to data released by China Bus Statistical Information Network, bus sales have become the biggest bright spot in the bus market in 2008. In the first three quarters of last year, the sales of bus buses of 50 mainstream companies increased by 39.96% year-on-year.

Mr. Wu told reporters that the strong support of policies will also promote the rapid development of new energy passenger vehicles. Beijing New Energy Automobile Design and Manufacturing Industry Base is one of the embodiments. According to reports, on December 28, 2008, the signing ceremony for the Beijing New Energy Automotive Design and Manufacturing Industry Base Award and the New Energy Bus Purchase Agreement was held at Foton Motor. The Beijing New Energy Automobile Industry Base, which is set up with Foton Motor as its center, has a total investment of 5 billion yuan.

Another factor driving the development of buses is the development of BRT (BRT). The BRT is characterized by large capacity and equipped with corresponding bus platforms. The vehicle operates at a fast speed during peak hours. According to reports, there are currently more than 30 cities that are interested in developing BRT in China.

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