China's Large Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Analysis in 2012

At the 2011 Global New Energy Vehicle Conference, many experts said that China's development of new energy vehicles has been unavoidable, but it must be based on China's national conditions and take the development path of new energy vehicles with Chinese characteristics.

The development of pure electric vehicles in the industry to avoid weaknesses has shown that new energy vehicles will be the key period in the next two years. Fang Jianhua, general manager of Hefei Guoxuan Hi-Tech Power Co., Ltd., said: “At the 2011 Frankfurt Motor Show and Tokyo Motor Show, foreign companies will launch all the mainstream cars of pure electric vehicles, because they have coveted China as a huge one. market."

"If we do pure electric vehicles, we don't need engines and gearboxes. We can do our best to avoid weaknesses." Fang Jianhua analyzed that, "Why must we carry heavy burdens to keep up with others? What else do we have to carry on it? If we do not catch up, we will embark on the same kind of technology introduction as traditional cars. This is terrible."

In this regard, many experts including the academicians of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, Yang Yusheng and Fang Jianhua, believe that China's development of new energy vehicles has become a priority.

Can not learn how to do Liu Xiang hurdling down to the ground, many experts believe that the current pure electric vehicle technology has been able to meet daily needs. Fang Jianhua analyzed that the driving distance of the citizens of our country is about 150 kilometers, and the speed is generally less than 100 kilometers. The actual situation of the market determines that the current pure electric vehicle technology can meet the demand.

Yang Yusheng analyzed that zero-emissions is the strategic and technical goal to be achieved in the future, and is also the basis for technological development. However, it requires a longer-term struggle to be realized. Therefore, there must be transitional products and phase objectives. Appropriate use of the current production of electric vehicles, attention to the use of existing mature batteries, the development of short-term vehicles that can achieve energy-saving emission reduction, need to tolerate the process of gradual improvement, not to mention excessive vehicle indicators.

“Why did we just start a kid and force him to do Liu Xiang's 110m hurdle? Can we do it? We can't do it. Do we need to do it? Our needs have been met and we don’t need it. "Fang Jianhua said excitedly," From the technical goals, we are more emphasis on safety, security, stability in the first place, so that our batteries can be used like ordinary batteries, then our The industrial goal has already begun today."

China is likely to become a big country in the electric vehicle market. Yang Yusheng has always strongly supported the promotion of mini electric vehicles. Regarding the development of the 12th Five-Year New Energy Vehicle, Yang Yusheng proposed the "3+1 Project." The first is to develop a large number of micro-electric vehicles; the second is to use extended-range technology, the development of popular vehicles; the third is to study the next generation of new energy vehicle technology.

Yang Yusheng analyzed that lithium-ion batteries used in small electric vehicles are small, inexpensive, and easy to sell; second, small electric vehicles have a better accumulation of technology and have already been exported in small quantities; thirdly, small electric vehicles can use 220 volts. The civilian electricity can use over one billion degrees of electric charging per night in the trough. Fourthly, it is easy to use and maintain, energy-saving and emission-reducing, and it can restrain the luxury atmosphere.

Chen Henglong, chairman of Jiangsu Yimao Pure Electric Vehicle Co., Ltd., also agreed that he believes that low-speed micro-electric vehicles are the most suitable products for the Chinese market, because it is low-voltage operation, good safety; equipped with low-power battery packs, control technology is mature, It has good safety and reliability; it also has a relatively mature supporting system of various parts, and it is cheap, easy to promote, and has a huge market.

The key is that China has the foundation for the development of small electric vehicles.

According to Yang Yusheng's analysis, first of all, Guangdong, Shandong, Zhejiang and other provinces have developed small electric vehicles, the price is about 3 million, and the products have been exported in bulk. Once the government is officially liberalized, it can form a considerable production capacity. Secondly, the development of electric bicycles and electric motorcycles is driving the development of batteries, motors, and electronically controlled core technologies. Once again, China's electric bicycle and motorcycle industry is developed. More than 20,000 dealers across the country have already formed a paid recycling network for used batteries throughout the country.

Chen Henglong also believes that in terms of national strategies, the state must realistically formulate a development road for electric vehicles that conforms to Chinese characteristics based on the current state of China's electric vehicles and the characteristics of the market. Otherwise, it will repeat the mistakes of fuel vehicles.

“We need to be calm, down-to-earth, step by step, do our product well, do our technology well, and follow the laws to promote the industrialization of electric vehicles. To exchange time and space for market and scale, it is possible to achieve overtaking of corners. Chen Henglong analyzed that it is unrealistic and improbable that technology is currently surpassing the curve. It is necessary to vigorously develop miniature electric vehicles that are in line with Chinese characteristics and make China a big country in the electric vehicle market. This is entirely possible.